A Study of Time Series Prediction Method in Heat Supply Control

QI Wei-gui; ZHU Xue-li

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A Study of Time Series Prediction Method in Heat Supply Control

更新时间：2025-07-16

- A Study of Time Series Prediction Method in Heat Supply Control
- Acta Electronica Sinica Vol. 31, Issue 2, Pages: 268-270(2003)
- 作者机构：
  
  哈尔滨工业大学电气工程及自动化学院,黑龙江,哈尔滨,150001
- 作者简介：
- 基金信息：
- DOI：
  CLC： TP273TU833+.1
- Published：2003
- 稿件说明：
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QI Wei-gui, ZHU Xue-li. A Study of Time Series Prediction Method in Heat Supply Control[J]. Acta Electronica Sinica, 2003, 31(2): 268-270.
DOI：

QI Wei-gui, ZHU Xue-li. A Study of Time Series Prediction Method in Heat Supply Control[J]. Acta Electronica Sinica, 2003, 31(2): 268-270. DOI：

摘要

为了节能和优质供热

提出将负荷预报和预测控制施加于供热系统中.文中首先介绍了时间序列法预报原理

接着应用该原理给出供热负荷和模型误差的预报.负荷预报作为供热系统的设定值

模型误差作为预测控制的校正量.最后

给出了两种预报方法在供热系统的应用及仿真结果.

Abstract

This paper presents the application of heating load prediction and predictive control in the heat supply system for energy saving and high grade heat supply.First

it introduces time series analysis principle.Then

heating load and model error prediction are given by this principle.The load forecast is used as set point of heat supply system

and model error is used as corrected value of predictive control.Finally

the application of two prediction methods in heat supply system and simulation result are given.

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