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北京特殊机电研究所
Published:1984
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[1]周源泉.估计逐次提高试制产品精度的Bayes方法[J].电子学报,1984(04):51-56.
Zhou Yuan-quan. A Bayesian Approach for Precision Growth[J]. Acta Electronica Sinica, 1984, (4): 51-56.
本文用Bayes方法估计了试制产品的精度(或方差)大小的问题。该方法是对产品进行m组精度试验
其精度h
1
(i=1
m)满足条件h
1
<
h
2
<
……
<
h
m
而感兴趣的参数是产品最后阶段的精度h
m
。在取没有验前知识的共轭型验前分布时
可得h
m
的边缘验后概率密度函数。为满足工程实践的需要
推导了近似解并举实例加以说明。
The problem of estimating the precision (or variance) of a product under development testing is considered from a Bayesian approach m sets of precision trials are performed under conditions which lead to an ordering of precisions h1<h2<…<hm. The parameter of interest is hm
the final underlying precision of the product. The marginal posterior probability density function for hm is obtained when the conjugated type prior distribution without prior knowledge is assumed. An approximate solution is derived to meet the practical engineering needs
and the method is illustrated
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